December 2025

Influencer Forecast 2026

What 40 senior practitioners expect to break, scale, and disappear this year.

Lead author
Gordon Glenister
Pages
48
Published
December 2025
Access
Email-gated
Executive summary

Expect a 40% reduction in one-off activations and a shift to always-on ambassador cohorts.

This report is based on structured interviews and survey responses from brand-side marketers and agencies. All figures reproduced here are third-party verified in the full report.

01 · The brief has become the bottleneck.

The creator economy has reached the point where operational capacity, not spend, is the binding constraint. In interviews with 48 senior practitioners across brand, agency, and platform sides, one pattern recurred: teams that had standardised their brief, review, and measurement workflows grew faster than teams with larger budgets.

This report is the first of a series. It focuses on how generative tooling — language models, image generators, and the workflow software built around them — has restructured what the creator-marketing function actually does day to day. The field notes and transcripts sit behind the Members portal.

Three themes organise the findings.

71%of agencies now use internal LLMs to draft first-pass briefs · IS Survey 2026

First, the role of the brief. Briefs have historically been the moment where a brand's voice and a creator's voice meet. In 2026 they are also where a brand's AI tooling meets a creator's AI tooling. 71% of agencies surveyed now use internal LLMs to draft first-pass briefs; 34% of creators report using models to rewrite those briefs before accepting them.

Second, measurement. The gap between what is reported and what is known has widened, not narrowed. Attribution vendors promise lift modelling; practitioners describe lift modelling as a black box they defend to CFOs rather than a truth they believe.

Third, consolidation. The long tail of "TikTok-native" boutique agencies that emerged between 2022 and 2024 is retreating. The winners of the next cycle are the ones who can run always-on ambassador programs, and who own proprietary measurement frameworks that they will publish openly.

02 · Measurement is a political problem.

Each of the three themes is detailed in the following sections with case studies, verified numbers, and named sources. Methodology sits at the foot of the report.

3.4×SQL rate uplift for B2B programs with named creator retainers · IS Survey 2026

03 · The winners are consolidating.

The long tail of boutique agencies is retreating. The winners of the next cycle run always-on ambassador programs and publish measurement methodology openly.

Read the full report.

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